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2009.06.02 Council Meeting PacketMemorandum DATE:May 29,2009 TO: FROM: Mayor and City Council Anne Norris,City Manager Charles Hansen,Finance Director C H SUBJECT:Strategic Financial Planning Background: The city budget consists of what seems like a million little details and data elements that all have to be updated and properly managed to produce a working budget.There are also a handful of major factors that guide the overall direction of the budget.This document is an effort to take the minor factors and lump them together in an assumption,such as a 2 or 3%overall increase in the budget,so that we can experiment with variations in the few major factors. Discussion: This planning exercise begins with a baseline scenario and then changes major factors one by one to see their effect on the city's total property tax levy and the property tax bill of the median value home.These major factors are as follows: •Baseline Scenario.This is the graph titled Strategic Planning Scenario 1 in the graphs that follow.It assumes that the conditions in the 2009 adopted budget will continue into the future with no change other than 2 or 3%inflation.There will be no TIF district expiration,no tax levy for the local match on County Highway 81,no LGA cuts,no fire engines or public works garages to buy,and no franchise fees or other new revenues needed.This is viewing a fantasy world through rose colored glasses,but it provides a starting point. •Inflation.We are working with the assumption that there will be zero percent wage increases for 2010.Even so,we expect the overall budget to increase about 2%due to health insurance premiums,PERA rate increases,workers compensation premiums,property &liability insurance premiums,costs handed down by the state,etc. •Bass Lake Road/Becker Park TIF District.This district expires at the end of 2009 and will no longer be collecting property taxes in 2010.The properties located in the district are projected to pay $1,517,553 of tax increments into the TIF district in 2009.Beginning in 2010,those properties will be able to pay a share of the normal property taxes levied by the city,county,and school district. This means that the normal property taxes will be spread over a larger base of properties and the individual tax bills for all properties will go down.The City of Crystal levies about 29%of the taxes in 2009 and so its benefit will be 29%times $1,517,553 or $440,090.The City of Crystal won't collect this in additional revenue,but rather the tax bills of property owners will go down as though the City had cut its tax levy by $440,090.This would be equivalent to a 5%cut in the City's 2009 tax levy of $8,423,789. •County Highway 81 debt.It is expected that the City will enter into an agreement with Hennepin County this summer for an interest free bond to finance the local match on the County Highway 81 project.I project that this will require an annual tax levy of $509,000 to be collected for the years 2010 through 2014.This will be a debt service levy that will be outside of levy limits. •Local Government Aid.We may not hear the exact amount that the Governor will cut from LGA until sometime in July.For this exercise,we are assuming that Crystal will receive $1,100,000 less that the $1,898,952 that was promised to it for LGA in the 2009 budget. •Franchise fees and vacant building registration fees.This exercise assumes that Crystal will implement franchise fees that require Xcel and Center Point to each collect a fee of $2.00 per month per meter.This will raise about $500,000 per year in new revenue for the City.The vacant building registration fee is expected to raise about $100,000 per year in new revenues. •Fire engines.The City of Crystal will probably need to issue certificates of indebtedness to pay for part of its share of the fire engines in 2011.The amount of the certificates and annual debt service payments are unknown at this time, but will probably increase the annual property tax levy by no more than 1%. •Streets/Parks garage.The timing and cost of this project are unknown,but the cost will be significant.In light of the results shown by this exercise,it may be necessary to delay construction until 2014.That way,the first taxes collected for debt service will be in 2015,which is after the taxes collected for the debt service on the County Highway 81 debt end in 2014. Conclusion: One of the assumptions of this exercise has been that the City Council wishes to maintain the current level of services,no additions and no cut backs.Scenario 5 accomplishes that along with a debt service levy for County Highway 81,but at the cost of a $1,167,610 increase in the tax levy which produces a 10%increase in the tax bill of the median value home and a $48 per year franchise fee. This may be politically unacceptable.Even if it is politically acceptable,levy limits are still in place and will probably hold the City to a levy that is about $200,000 less than the one shown in Scenario 5. Some of these issues will become clearer over the next two months.The City Council needs to be weighing the larger aspects of the budget so that you are prepared when the amount of the LGA cut and exact provisions of levy limits become known. Strategic Planning Scenario 1:2009 adopted budget,no changes in TIF districts,no new debt for capital projects,and no LGA cuts 2009 2010 2013 201420112012 -Total City Taxes -Median Home Taxes -Tax IncrementTaxes Strategic Planning Scenario 2:2009 adopted budget,BLR/Becker TIF district expires,no new debt for capital projects,and no LGA cuts ~'-------- 2009 2010 2014201120122013 -Total City Taxes -Median Home Taxes -Tax IncrementTaxes Strategic Planning Scenario 3:2009 adopted budget,BLRlBecker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,and no LGA cuts ~'----- 2009 2010 2011 201420122013 -Total City Taxes -Median Home Taxes -Tax IncrementTaxes Strategic Planning Scenario 4:2009 adopted budget,BLR/Becker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,and $1,100,000 LGA cut ~~--- 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -Total City Taxes -Median Home Taxes -Tax IncrementTaxes Strategic Planning Scenario 5:2009 adopted budget,BLRlBecker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,$1,100,000 LGA cut,and $600,000 of new franchise fee &vacant building registration revenues ~'------ 2009 2010 2014201120122013 -Total City Taxes -Median HomeTaxes -Tax IncrementTaxes City of Crystal Strategic Planning Scenarios Summary of Key Data Elements Adopted Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Budg~t_Budget_Budget Budget Budget Budget Scenario #1:2009 adopted budget,no changes in TIF districts,no new debt for capital projects,and no LGA cuts Total City Taxes 8,423,789 8,582,399 8,750,001 9,010,479 Tax bill median value home 716.53 730.34 744.95 767.29 Tax Increment Financing Taxes 1,921,093 1,959,515 1,998,705 2,058,666 9,273,246 790.31 2,120,426 Scenario #2:2009 adopted budget,BLRlBecker TIF district expires,no new debt for capital projects,and no LGA cuts Total City Taxes 8,423,789 8,582,399 8,750,001 9,010,479 9,273,246 Tax bill median value home 716.53 692.88 706.73 727.94 749.77 Tax Increment Financing Taxes 1,921,093 411,611 419,843 432,438 433,071 Scenario #3:2009 adopted budget,BLR/Becker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,and no LGA cuts Total City Taxes 8,423,789 9,091,399 9,269,181 9,545,235 9,824,044 Tax bill median value home 716.53 747.35 762.30 785.17 808.72 Tax Increment Financing Taxes 1,921,093 411,611 419,843 432,438 433,071 9,543,731 814.02 2,184,039 9,543,731 772.27 426,088 10,111,053 832.98 426,088 Scenario #4:2009 adopted budget,BLR/Becker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,and $1,100,000 LGA cuts Total City Taxes 8,423,789 10,191,399 10,391,181 10,700,895 11,014,374 11,337,093 Tax bill median value home 716.53 837.15 853.89 879.51 905.89 933.07 Tax Increment Financing Taxes 1,921,093 411,611 419,843 432,438 433,071 426,088 Scenario #5:2009 adopted budget,BLR/Becker TIF district expires,$509,000 tax levy for Cty Hwy 81 debt,$1,100,000 LGA cuts and $600,000 of new revenues for franchise fees &vacant building registration fees Total City Taxes 8,423,789 9,591,399 Tax bill median value home 716.53 788.17 Franchise fees 48.00 Tax Increment Financing Taxes 1,921,093 411,611 9,779,181 803.93 48.96 419,843 10,070,535 828.05 49.94 432,438 C:\Oocuments and Settings\chansen\My Documents\Strategic Planning Scenarios 1.xls 10,365,103 852.89 50.94 433,071 10,668,344 878.48 51.96 426,088 5/29/2009 8:44 AM